In the third quarter of 2023, agricultural credit conditions in the Kansas City Fed’s Tenth District showed signs of softening. This was evident through lower farm incomes and loan repayment rates compared to the previous year, marking the second consecutive quarter of decline. The impact of this moderation was more pronounced in areas heavily affected by drought, while areas more focused on cattle production experienced a more tempered effect. Despite the softening farm finances and a significant increase in interest rates, agricultural real estate values in the region remained stable.
The ag economy has been affected by a softening trend in recent quarters, which has coincided with a moderation in commodity prices. The combination of elevated production costs and a decrease in the price of key products over the past year is likely to have contributed to a reduction in farm income in 2023. However, despite the softening incomes and higher interest costs, the performance of agricultural loans has remained strong, thanks to the solid financial position cultivated over the past two years. This resilience can be attributed to factors such as improved crop yields and increased demand for certain products due to changing consumer preferences and global trade dynamics. Overall, while there are challenges facing farmers in this region, they remain optimistic about their ability to weather these difficulties and maintain their long-term sustainability through careful management and strategic planning.