As the world’s largest concentration of meteorites, Antarctica has been a treasure trove of valuable space rocks for centuries. However, the continent is now facing a threat from global warming that could make it difficult to locate and retrieve these rocks. A new analysis predicts that close to three-quarters of Antarctica’s meteorites could disappear from the ice sheet surface by the end of the century.
The research, published in Nature Climate Change, used a machine-learning algorithm to forecast how Antarctic meteorites will be affected by simulated climate conditions. These meteorites accumulated in stranding zones on the continent thousands of years ago and are now embedded in the ice. They are commonly found in “blue ice” areas, where wind uncovers older ice that appears blue against the white landscape.
Meteorites are highly sensitive to temperature, and exposure to sunlight can cause their dark surface to warm up, melting the ice beneath them and causing them to sink below the surface. The researchers project that under all emissions scenarios, at least 5,000 meteorites will disappear annually. With every tenth of a degree increase in temperature, the loss of meteorites could range from 5,100 to 12,200, and under a high-emissions scenario, 76 percent of the areas currently covered by meteorites could be lost.
The potential loss of meteorites would be devastating for space scientists as these rocks contain valuable information about the development of our solar system. Dating back billions of years, meteorites offer insights into stars
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